Another long one coming.
Since I was posting on divorce yesterday, I’ve got more marriage-related thoughts today. Camassia gets the hat tip for alerting me to this post from someone called Olde Oligarch. (UPDATE: Old Oligarch has removed most of the post in question, and he includes an explanation for his action.)
Oligarch on the voting gap between single and married women:
I am always struck by what must certainly be an absolute novelty of the twentieth century: we have a large and ever-growing class of single women, many of whom become completely established on their own in society and live into their 30s before they decide to find a mate and settle down. Is it any surprise when we find that, as a class, they are generally bad for society?
The blurb: “The “marriage gap” - the difference in the vote between married and unmarried women - is an astonishing 38 percentage points, according to aggregated USA TODAY/CNN/ Gallup Polls. In contrast, the famous “gender gap,” the difference in the vote between men and women, is just 11 points.”
To summarize: whether a woman votes Democrat or Republican turns out to be massively correlated to whether she’s married. Democrats are evil. Thus, the 20th century’s creation of a large class of single women is both symptom and propagating cause of social dissolution.
Bold emphasis is mine. (By the way, does anyone want to tell the old boy it’s the 21st century? I won’t if you won’t.) After this start, the archaic one offers this:
The article seems to suggest that the married or single state shapes your political psyche, but I bet the causal relationship is reversed. So either: the married state is increasingly populated by conservatives (seems patently false); or, when people want to marry, they find they also want things offered (at least marginally better) by the Republican party. Thus, contrary to the smug poster of the Reagan era, it’s really the Young Democrats in Love who are in for a head / heart (or ideology / experience) disconnect.
Or, could we stand the article on its head and say?:
Women with traditional values succeed much more often and remain in stable unions; thus the high correlation between traditional values and marriage.
Does this mean, by virtue of the same statistic:
Despite whatever desire to eventually marry they might have, being an ardent Democrat woman is a per se liability to settling down?
Or, to make it even more polemical, can we wonder:
Is being a single woman in your thirties basically a sign that you’ve been misled by an ideology that is not great for you as a woman (and certainly not as a mother), but hey, you can’t see that; or, if you can, it’s too late now, so you vote for the party that defined your status quo?
Oh my. Oh my. Where, oh where, do I start? I love what Camassia said:
Damn. With the future of society hanging in the balance, I’m going to be even more nervous on dates.
Obviously, I’m a thrice-divorced, newly engaged, pro-life, born-again, “Mennoscopalian”, liberal Democrat man. With those characteristics in place, I don’t know that I have much legitimacy on the subject of the marriage gap. Olde Oligarch is a Republican married man of indeterminate age (I have yet to read through his whole blog to learn more about him). Any exchange he and I have on this subject will come off sounding like two blind guys arguing about the relative virtues of Miro and Kandinsky, frankly, but here I go:
The marriage gap is rooted, I think, in the Republican veneration of the traditional nuclear family. There’s no evidence that a marriage gap existed among women in terms of their voting patterns before the Reagan presidency. And of course, the Reagan presidency marked the modern beginning of the ascendancy of religious conservatives within the Republican party, an ascendancy that has hit its zenith (one does hope, anyway) with the current presidential administration.
Implicitly and often explicitly, the Republican party idealizes a certain kind of “traditional family values.” Women in the party stand behind their men (three generations of Bush women, for example). More importantly, Republicans send the message that marriage and the family are the ultimate sources of economic security for women. In other words, gals, sooner or later you need to rely on a man. The “safety net” of public institutions provides women with the opportunity to succeed personally and economically without depending upon a man. The more our public safety net is dismantled, the more women will be forced to turn to men. I don’t think either party says this out loud, and I think this is a gross over-simplification. Then again, voters often make decisions based upon perception — and there is little question that the Republican obsession with insisting that the nuclear family is the cornerstone of civilization (as ahistorical a concept as one could ever find) is obviously going to be threatening to those folks, particularly women, who believe otherwise.
Despite my pro-life personal stance, I recognize that the abortion issue is a huge factor here. Though married women do get abortions (what percentage of abortions is open to debate), women who have husbands will, in general, have more financial and personal resources to cope with an unplanned pregnancy than those women who are unmarried. I know that the attempt to restrict access to legal abortion is perceived, often rightly, as an attempt to undermine the autonomy of all women — but single women in particular! Though few women if any could look forward to having an abortion, knowing that safe and legal abortion is available to them allows them a degree of reassurance that they can be autonomous sexual beings without having to fear the radical upheaval that an unplanned child born to a single mother surely brings.
Many, many single women in our society (and not a few married ones too) have been raised with the message: “Whatever you do, don’t rely on a man.” That’s not a message thought up by radical man-haters. It’s a message rooted in bitter personal experiences that countless women have endured. Too many women have grown up in families affected by male abandonment, alcoholism, infidelity, abuse, porn addiction, gambling problems, work-aholism, and a simple refusal to grow the bleep up. Too many women have heard from their mothers and older sisters about the dangers of “placing all your eggs in one basket.” Too many women, especially young ones, are keenly aware of just how reliable and trustworthy most young men are. And thus an ideology (and a political party) that venerate traditonal marriage is going to be very, very distasteful to many of them.
I don’t believe that we ought to see the state as a parent figure. But I don’t think we ought to see strong nuclear families as the solution to all of society’s problems. I don’t think most young Democratic single women want the state to replace a husband (pace, Warren Farrell*). But they may also deeply resent politicians who insist that their biology ought to be their destiny. And whether intended or not, that seems to be the perception that an increasing number of women have of the Republican Party.
* Farrell, a men’s rights advocate, makes explicit a point that I think has become an unspoken part of the Republican Party platform. When he ran for governor of California during the recall election, he said:
When the state of California offers a mom more than the dad can provide if she does not marry the dad, it bribes the mom to “marry†the government—the state turns itself into the Government-as-Substitute Husband.
Sigh.

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